Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.065048 0.073264 0.081752 0.091147 0.101230 0.111698 0.123362
2025-02-16 0.047989 0.059654 0.072453 0.087407 0.104268 0.122569 0.143809
2025-02-23 0.040216 0.054488 0.070969 0.091076 0.114624 0.141026 0.172568
2025-03-02 0.034469 0.050539 0.069960 0.094545 0.124246 0.158421 0.200168
2025-03-09 0.027623 0.044113 0.065018 0.092485 0.126689 0.167018 0.217310
2025-03-16 0.021921 0.038262 0.060006 0.089625 0.127568 0.173316 0.231422
2025-03-23 0.019576 0.036621 0.060153 0.093063 0.136081 0.188758 0.256511
2025-03-30 0.017205 0.034577 0.059466 0.095184 0.142781 0.201921 0.278873
2025-04-06 0.015513 0.033304 0.059658 0.098339 0.150740 0.216650 0.303246
2025-04-13 0.013229 0.030748 0.057739 0.098386 0.154472 0.225973 0.320905
2025-04-20 0.012851 0.031306 0.060392 0.104834 0.166783 0.246345 0.352582
2025-04-27 0.010824 0.028698 0.058021 0.103953 0.169094 0.253789 0.367952
2025-05-04 0.009400 0.027070 0.057178 0.105433 0.174937 0.266300 0.390474
2025-05-11 0.007715 0.024653 0.054884 0.104665 0.177666 0.274828 0.408123
2025-05-18 0.007291 0.024743 0.056716 0.110149 0.189265 0.295266 0.441404
2025-05-25 0.006745 0.024475 0.057890 0.114620 0.199474 0.313948 0.472577
2025-06-01 0.005351 0.021977 0.054949 0.112487 0.200056 0.319580 0.486632
2025-06-08 0.004067 0.019363 0.051507 0.109308 0.198925 0.322757 0.497377
2025-06-15 0.003735 0.019155 0.052480 0.113256 0.208295 0.340359 0.527339
2025-06-22 0.003286 0.018507 0.052547 0.115682 0.215412 0.354905 0.553335
2025-06-29 0.002991 0.018238 0.053318 0.119273 0.224302 0.371974 0.582819
2025-07-06 0.002444 0.017001 0.052040 0.119329 0.227816 0.381563 0.602315
2025-07-13 0.002493 0.017800 0.054971 0.126643 0.242467 0.406854 0.643131